What's Going On with Gun Sales?

"Why do you guys promote guns no one can find?" one reader recently posited. That was followed up by: "You put the Kimber Solo on the cover; you might as well have reviewed a unicorn." Another quipped, "I just ordered a SIG Sauer P224 and a leprechaun at my dealer; we'll see which comes in first."


Obviously, unicorn and leprechaun reviews are beyond the purview of American Rifleman, but the Kimber Solo on the October 2011 and the SIG P224 on the April 2012 cover were not. Back when he was an on-the road sales rep for Beretta, Jens Krough, now brand manager for Franchi, spent a lot of time talking with gunshop owners. One of his questions to dealers was "What's selling?" The response from a few of them was invariably, "Whatever is on the cover of American Rifleman."


Odds are that if you're in the same boat as the readers quoted above (save for fairy tale creature references) someone else already bought the gun you wanted, and there are more people after the gun you want than guns available at present. Demand is outstripping supply, pure and simple. Trust me; the manufacturers would like to sell a firearm to every lawful customer that would like one.


Make guns people want to buy, offer features that no one else offers, or offer them at a better price, and as a company you will see an increase in demand. Sales are up across just about every category, based on anecdotal conversations with firearms and industry contacts. In some cases this includes decades old designs. Defensive handguns are particularly strong, defensive shotguns are up, semi-automatic rifles are back up and .22s are extremely strong as well. Surprising to me was increased demand for field shotguns. There are quite a few new shotguns this year, including the Browning A5 (planned May Rifleman cover story; order yours now) and the Franchi Instinct and Affinity, plus at least two major introductions coming in the next few months that I am unable to disclose.


Plants here and overseas are working full out. It is a question of capacity. Domestic companies are adding shifts, cross training workers, reorganizing how the machines in a plant are organized (the last four gun plants I have been on the floor of were in the process of trying to increase efficiency by moving tooling around) and, in some cases, buying new machines. Firms are reluctant to add employees with changes in health care looming as they do not know what the costs will be, and they would rather not hire people only to lay them off six months from now if conditions change.


Sturm, Ruger & Co., recently reported that it is suspending taking orders until May. It is not that Ruger is shutting down—a patent falsehood I saw on a chat room from an anonymous and oblivious "insider"—but the company cannot keep up with orders. So instead of extending the backorders to ridiculous numbers, the company said enough. Once production is closer to being caught up, the company will take orders again.


I'd like to think that NRA members had a big piece of Ruger's success this year with President Mike Fifer's "Million Gun Challenge," which is now the "1.2 Million Gun Challenge" as the firm surpassed every expectation, and in the year from the NRA Annual Meetings in Pittsburgh to the NRA Annual Meetings in St. Louis, the company will have made more guns in one year than ever before in its history.


How many of the backorders out there are "phantom," meaning multiple orders from a dealer through several distributors waiting to see which one delivers, then cancelling the others, is unknown; some certainly are. But when it comes to popular models, one dealer told me, "I have customers with deposits for six, have ordered 12 and could probably sell 20."


The number of background checks through the National Instant Criminal Check system (which thanks to NRA superseded the Brady's Bill's mandatory waiting period) is up at record levels, too. Those checks include more than just new gun sales, as some states require a check every time a gun is transferred and used guns sold by an FFL require a background check as well. But it is indicative of an increased number of American choosing to exercise their Second Amendment right.


The looming contest between Barack Obama and the Republican nominee, anxiety over the country's economic uncertainty, manufacturers actually offering guns people want to buy, new cartridge/gun combinations (such as .17 Hornet and .300 Whisper/AAC Blackout), and, yes, even the unlikely and seemingly ridiculous belief in a zombie apocalypse, all contribute to the spike in interest in firearms.


Throw in increased popular culture television exposure of firearms and shooting, including everything from "Gold Rush" to "Top Shot" to "Sons of Guns" to "Doomsday Preppers," and you can see that the trend will continue for some time to come.


Speaking of "Doomsday Preppers," I really need to buy some more water. I'm okay on ammo.


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24 Responses to What's Going On with Gun Sales?

http://www.paintballgun-sale.com wrote:
June 19, 2013

Very well said. These tips are really amazing. I appreciate it for sharing them.

Vet wrote:
August 22, 2012

I agree very much with WTM's and CG's comments on gun prices and unscrupulous practices. Many sellers, including internet and some shops are asking full blown "suggested retail" on new and in many cases on used guns, way way above reasonable selling prices. There was a time when most shops would offer at least 10% - 15% discount off list prices and private sellers would eagerly negotiate the price of a used gun sale. But my several recent experiences with many internet sellers and shops have been they will not negotiate the price of the item by even a cent! It would seem to me that dropping the price a few dollars when you've got hundreds in inventory to sell wouldn't really hurt their bottom line overall. And I know and they know that what they're asking in many cases is way above what it should "real world" sell for. In addition, in most cases they seem very indifferent, and in some instances are down right rude or unfriendly. I'm a senior, and have been dealing with the gun market now for about 45 years. And I can tell you from much experience that this is not the climate that I experienced many years ago. But I suppose many of the sellers now are in their late 20's to early 40's, and these traits are probably a relection of the differences in upbringing, changes in attitudes, and a lust for more money - above all else. Every gun I've ever sold over the years, I have always treated the person with respect and friendliness, and negotiated a sale price which was favorable to both parties. I guess that's what many would call "old fashion" today. What a shame that things have reached this point.

Doug Shetron wrote:
May 26, 2012

Gee, with Obama running around the country touting all of the jobs he has created and how great things are, one would think he would highlight the firearm industries boom during his term. Don't loose sleep on that one but it might make a good talking point for a wavy politician.

michael forren wrote:
April 28, 2012

model 1100 410

John wrote:
April 08, 2012

Haven't notice a thing here in NE Georgia, hope it stays that way.

Gene wrote:
April 08, 2012

As with the price and availability of ammo, this is all a part of the "Obama Effect" we have been subject to for the past 3.5 years.

Domain1 wrote:
April 07, 2012

Rightnow due to the price of guns I would have to say I am not interested in purchasing any at this time. Or at least till they come back to prices that are more fitting to their real value. I am not really happy with the price of ammo either but thats an item you got to have, maybe not for every weapon you own but for sure what you intend on using should something happen "God forbid" and we come a civilization more like the 18th and 19th century. For now I feel I will be putting my efforts toward "prepping" to which I already have a good start on as for my personal family goes. Don't get me wrong, as a avid collector I already own more guns than I will admit to but I would like to have more. But as long as the market will bear it and people will pay double what some of these weapons should cost, I just dont see the price coming back to earth. I.E. SKS's not long ago you could buy them by the truck load for $125.00, now they are running in the $300.00 range, and I am not going to pay that amount. Luckily I started collecting many years ago. It seems to me where gun shops use to depend on repeat customers now dont really care if you ever come back again. I like to do business where I am appreciated and recognized,simply because I have bought so many weapons from them before, but that doesnt seem to be case anymore.

Mack Missiletoe wrote:
April 07, 2012

GMAN: "What was once an ammo shortage back during 2009 to 2010 when Obama became POTUS now has become a firearm shortage? It’s funny how things have come full circle during this administration. Just as Obama was noted as the best ammo salesman, I feel he’s also going to take the best firearm salesman honors also." haha There's still a few guns I want, but that's further down the road. I'm trying to afford ammo! There ain't much that brings more smileys to my face then new ammo boxes and shiny new brass. Even if it's a 50rd box o' .22lr I want full size Ruger .357 Revolver such as their Vaquero or GP100. I also want a Remington .223 hunting rifle with steel floorplate. These are some of my faaaavorite things...

WTM wrote:
April 05, 2012

At a gun show I attended this last weekend, I saw someone walking around with a KSG that was asking $1200 for it (and Yes, it had been fired) and there was a dealer (that I have done a lot of business with) that had one too, although he had not put it out on the table for sale, he mentioned putting it out at $1500 to see what happens. He also had a second one that he had listed on a gun auction sight and the bids were up over $1100 when he last checked. I do not like paying retail for anything, and this dealer typically sells me my guns at cost plus 5-10%, depending on the gun and value. I had contacted him well over a year ago about getting me a KSG and now he has two with not even a phone call. I must say that I am more than a little miffed about it, I may give someone else that appreciates my business more the next two dozen guns that I buy! I will never own one if they expect me to pay above MSRP! They can keep them! Don't get me wrong, I am all about making as much money as you can, and if the market will bear it, then go for it with the pricing. Where the problem is, in this situation, is that I order the latest guns from this dealer all the time, SR1911 and Ruger Scout, etc. He usually doesn't even know about them, and in a few cases, even his suppliers weren't aware. So when I ask him about every other month, what is the word on the KSG and he replies that he hasn't heard anything and then I learn that he has two of them and has yet to even call, well, as you can see by this rant I am upset. God Bless you all and Good Luck on your hunt for your next firearm!

robert byram wrote:
April 05, 2012

i will buy most of what you say about demand but gun mags are notourious for advertising guns that haven't ever begun to ship yet. example, the ksg gas been in most all of the mags in an article or add, still not shipping

CG wrote:
April 05, 2012

When a FFL Dealer can't get the item it forces the customer into the private sales market of for sale ads, gun shows, auctions, the Internet . Therefore making revenue even harder for the brick & mortar gun shop. Rarely have I seen a customer switch to a used firearm when they come in the store to buy new, gun purchasers a very single minded about what they want. BUT it does seem like certain gun stores (larger with big sales numbers) have an abundance of the newer items of all variations; could this be favoritism from regional distributors with a wink and a nod? Whatever the case ... Ultimately, this all reflects badly on the industry that can't service a customer through a stocking dealer. To add insult to injury a company will produce say a pistol that you have to wait a year for and in the meantime come out with ANOTHER model which you have to wait ANOTHER 10 months for!

Bruce Frazier Sr. wrote:
April 04, 2012

I said this was going to happen back in 1999.

Cliff daly wrote:
April 04, 2012

The Kimber Solo became hard to find because Kimber stopped production due to so many returns. I have had two dealers say they were told this directly by Kimber even though Kimber denys it.

Rws wrote:
April 04, 2012

Ok so after reading the article....you still didn't answer the question'what is up with sales?'is it demand,government restrictions??????

Sergio Vasquez wrote:
April 04, 2012

Talk about a unicorn -- the Kel Tec KSG is starting to look like a myth. I bought a Benelli M4 instead and will just have to reload more often.

Dave wrote:
April 04, 2012

I have plenty of water need more ammo. HA

Greg Newman wrote:
April 04, 2012

Ruger has actually put all sales off till June or July now.

Gman wrote:
April 04, 2012

Personally, I have purchased all the firearms I feel I need. I also have many ammo boxes full of ammo for each caliber for my handguns and several ammo boxes of .22LR and 5.56 of different type bullets. Being a hunter, I had a couple of shotguns, a .270 Win rifle and older Winchester .22LR lever action rifle I used to hunt spring turkey. Since Obama came on the scene and almost 4 years, I have acquired 12 handguns, 1 hunting rifle, 2 ARs and 1 tactical shotgun. Now, I just replenish the ammo I take to the range with new so I always have full boxes. What was once an ammo shortage back during 2009 to 2010 when Obama became POTUS now has become a firearm shortage? It’s funny how things have come full circle during this administration. Just as Obama was noted as the best ammo salesman, I feel he’s also going to take the best firearm salesman honors also.

j9 wrote:
April 04, 2012

My life at the gun shop summed up perfectly in one article ;)

Bob wrote:
April 04, 2012

Ican not find a Kel-Tec PMR30 at acorrect price for almost two years.I am in Fla. Something is wrong with your comments?

Whit wrote:
April 04, 2012

Try to find anything from Kel-Tec. I looked for a sub200 9mm Glock configured for 18 months. I finally settled on a used one. After a trip back the the factory It came back as new. At least they do have great customer service.

Rob in TN wrote:
April 04, 2012

Is there any truth to the rumors that "progressives" such as George Soros have bought controlling interest in several companies and have influenced production? This would not be surprising and I would hope it is being looked into.

Bill Glaze wrote:
April 04, 2012

I remember Wayne LaPierre saying that Bill Clinton was the best recruiter for NRA that the Assn. has ever had. You can now make that statement in reference to Pres. Obama. and increased gun sales. People aren't oblivious to hios attitude.

Gary wrote:
April 04, 2012

"Why do you guys promote guns no one can find?" Nothing worse than buying something and then finding out that a better product is coming. A heads-up on what is coming allows us to wait for the preferred product or confirm that the present product is the one we want. The longer the lead time the better. Now, how about an article on the DoubleTap. I need to know if its worth waiting for.